Hurricane

Forecasters issue revised hurricane season outlook

Forecasters issue revised hurricane season outlook

Forecasters at Colorado State University – the pioneers of seasonal hurricane forecasting – issued their July outlook for the hurricane season, nudging down numbers from their April and June outlooks, but still calling for a slightly above average season overall.

A hurricane season like no other

A hurricane season like no other

As darkness descended on the Gulf of Mexico in October, a 1970s-era U.S. government turboprop plane neared the eye of the newly formed Hurricane Milton.

Following a new area of interest for the weekend

Following a new area of interest for the weekend

An area of disturbed weather moving through the western Caribbean is expected to cross into the Bay of Campeche in the lower reaches of the Gulf this weekend where it could gradually organize if the system remains over the waters north of Mexico.

Andrea comes, Andrea goes

Andrea comes, Andrea goes

The low-level cloud swirl spinning harmlessly over the open waters of the high Atlantic wasn’t much to look at on Tuesday but managed to muster up enough steam for NHC to briefly classify it Tropical Storm Andrea, the first named storm of the 2025 hurricane season.

Atlantic threatens to break its silence

Atlantic threatens to break its silence

After its most sluggish start to a hurricane season since 2014, the Atlantic is threatening to break its silence with a short-lived system over the open waters of the subtropical Atlantic.

It Only Takes One: Adaptation along Florida’s Gulf Coast

It Only Takes One: Adaptation along Florida’s Gulf Coast

Any homeowner that’s been through a flood knows that once is once too many. But for Brian Martin and his family, flooding has been a way of life since moving to the waterfront neighborhood of Shores Acres along the western edge of Tampa Bay.

Saharan dust reinforcements on the way

Saharan dust reinforcements on the way

It’s been a dusty start to the 2025 hurricane season with the biggest Saharan dust outbreak of the year reaching the sands of South Florida this week from the soils of West Africa over 4,000 miles away.

This Week in South Florida: Kevin Guthrie

This Week in South Florida: Kevin Guthrie

Sunday is the first day of this year’s hurricane season, and the first since the administrations of President Donald Trump and Gov. Ron DeSantis changed the government’s response.

Tropical system expected to form, strengthen over the Caribbean this weekend

Tropical system expected to form, strengthen over the Caribbean this weekend

A disturbance tracking south of Jamaica Wednesday morning – designated Invest 99L by the National Hurricane Center – is expected to organize into Tropical Storm Sara over the coming days and could strengthen into a powerful hurricane by this weekend as it hangs about off the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua.

Odds of late season tropical threat growing

Odds of late season tropical threat growing

A significant late-season tropical system is poised to come together later this week and could strengthen into a formidable November hurricane by this weekend or early next week as it meanders in the western Caribbean.

Hurricane season not done yet: Another storm lurking for later this week

Hurricane season not done yet: Another storm lurking for later this week

With Rafael quickly spinning down over the Gulf of Mexico this weekend – its thunderstorm activity wiped clear by a slug of dry air and hostile wind shear – we’d hope the hurricane season would finally come to its senses and move into its traditional November hibernation, but the Caribbean has other plans.

Odds increase for tropical formation this weekend or early next week

Odds increase for tropical formation this weekend or early next week

The next storm in the Atlantic is likely to spin up over the weekend or early next week out of the Central American Gyre, or CAG, the semi-permanent, sprawling area of spin that straddles the land areas separating the eastern Pacific and the Caribbean Sea on the Atlantic side -- the same feature responsible for so many of our devastating hurricanes in 2024 -- including the likes of Milton and Helene.

Forecast models waffle on Caribbean development

Forecast models waffle on Caribbean development

Overnight computer models waffled on the outlook for a disturbance we’ve been following in the southwestern and central Caribbean, softening its development prospects and pushing back the development window into early next week.

Quiet end to October after a record-breaking start

Quiet end to October after a record-breaking start

After a banner start to October that included 3 simultaneous hurricanes (Kirk, Leslie, and Milton) during its first week – a first in our record books for the month of October – with more activity packed into one month than we see in some Augusts and Septembers (traditionally our busiest months) combined, including the strongest hurricane in almost two decades (Milton), a devastating Florida hurricane hit and a surprise hurricane (Oscar) – the smallest we’ve ever measured – last weekend, the tropics are finally simmering down to end the month.

November US landfalls: Where have they formed and where have they hit?

November US landfalls: Where have they formed and where have they hit?

Since official Atlantic tropical cyclone recordkeeping began some 174 years ago, nearly 600 tropical storms or hurricanes have struck the mainland U.S. shoreline during all months of the year, except for January, March, April and December. Of those landfalling storms, only about a dozen struck during the month of November.

Oscar on the way out, tropical Atlantic takes a breather

Oscar on the way out, tropical Atlantic takes a breather

After taking a slow, horseshoe-shaped dip across eastern Cuba over the past 36 hours and dumping over a foot of heavy rain – causing pockets of significant flooding – poorly-organized Oscar is picking up the pace and accelerating through the southeastern Bahamas and toward the western Atlantic.

October surprise: Oscar rapidly forms, stuns forecasters over the weekend

October surprise: Oscar rapidly forms, stuns forecasters over the weekend

It’s not often we see a colossal failure in hurricane forecasting, but over the weekend the sudden formation of Hurricane Oscar on Saturday near the Turks and Caicos off the southeastern Bahamas was a reminder why we watch every system carefully, especially those close to land during the peak months of the hurricane season.

Disturbances bring heavy rain threat to parts of the Caribbean

Disturbances bring heavy rain threat to parts of the Caribbean

Two disturbances we’ve been tracking this week – one in the western Caribbean and the other passing just north of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands today – will bring the threat of heavy rainfall to Central America and the Greater Antilles but neither will be a concern for the mainland U.S.

Down to one in the Atlantic

Down to one in the Atlantic

After its most active start to October on record and following a spate of 5 hurricanes – including 3 major hurricanes – in less than 2 weeks, the Atlantic is throttling back to a more reasonable pace for middle October.

North Fort Myers in recovery mode after Hurricanes Milton, Helene

North Fort Myers in recovery mode after Hurricanes Milton, Helene

North Fort Myers was one of the hardest-hit areas in Florida overnight, as a powerful storm surge and a tornado spawned by Hurricane Milton caused widespread destruction. Streets are now littered with debris, and homes in mobile home parks sustained significant damage.

Milton wallops west-central Florida, blankets the peninsula with violent tornadoes

Milton wallops west-central Florida, blankets the peninsula with violent tornadoes

Only days after explosively strengthening into the most intense Gulf hurricane in nearly two decades, the eye of Hurricane Milton crossed west-central Florida’s coastline at Siesta Key near Sarasota – just 20 miles south of Tampa Bay – as a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds around 8:30 p.m. local time Wednesday evening.